Ten major government projects across five states are tipped to lift the housing market in 25 areas, new analysis has shown.
According to Propertyology’s head of research, Simon Pressley, due to the large scale of the government stimulus, each of these areas will benefit: (in alphabetical order) Albury-Wodonga, Armidale, Beaudesert, Bendigo, Brisbane, Burnie, Cairns, Charters Tower, Dubbo, Glen Innes, Goondiwindi, Griffith, Hobart, Maroochydore, Narrabri, Parkes, Rockhampton, Seymour, Shepparton, Sydney, Tamworth, Toowoomba, Townsville, Wagga Wagga and Whyalla.
“While the development of new train stations, shopping centres, schools and road projects are important to their respective communities, the evidence confirms that these projects don’t have any direct impact on the performance of respective property markets,” Mr Pressley noted.
While cities go through a range of specific projects that support the prices of property, genuine property booms are few and far between, according to Mr Pressley.
“From many years of property market studies, we’ve concluded that the property market impact from major project developments is determined by the scale of the economic benefits relative to the size of the community that it relates to,” said Mr Pressley.
For example, a $10 billion infrastructure project within a large capital city may have no direct bearing on that city’s property market performance, whereas investment in a $100 million project in a completely different part of Australia may generate significant momentum for its property market.
Propertyology noted that the government’s new stimulus package, along with record-low interest rates, is creating one of the most exciting times for real estate investors.
“Infrastructure Australia has 147 major projects on its drawing board, plus the various state and local governments collectively have an even bigger list of projects,” Mr Pressley explained.
“Propertyology has scrolled across the country, identified the major projects in respect to their potential influence on property markets, and have ranked Australia’s Top 10 projects.”
Inland Rail Project: A $10 billion 1,700-kilometre rail infrastructure project connecting ports in Melbourne and Brisbane to meet demand for an anticipated 75 percent increase in Australia’s freight over the next decade. The inland route was strategically chosen to more efficiently transport food and general cargo throughout the eastern states and to reduce the volume of trucks on highways. Completion of the project will provide enormous scope for Australia’s vast agricultural precincts to ramp up production as a global giant food supplier. The post-construction economic benefits for regional communities will be substantial and will have a positive influence on property markets in communities such as Seymour, Bendigo, Shepparton, Albury-Wodonga, Wagga Wagga, Griffith, Parkes, Dubbo, Narrabri, Armidale, Goondiwindi, Toowoomba and Beaudesert.
“This project earns Numero Uno ranking from Propertyology, given the considerable scale of economic benefits relative to the population sizes of the regional towns in question,” said Mr Pressley.
GFG Alliance Steelworks: A $600 million development of a new steel mill at Whyalla by British billionaire Sanjeev Gupta. With construction due to commence late-2020, the project will enable steel production to be double the volume of the existing plant, while Mr Gupta’s $500 million Cultana solar farm will vastly improve energy costs. The estimated 1,500 jobs created by the project is very significant for a regional city that currently boasts a workforce of 10,000 and has a median house price of $200,000.
Western Parkland City: A series of major projects worth about $20 billion to develop a new city in Sydney’s outer west. The $5.3 billion Nancy-Bird Walton airport will be the cornerstone of the region. The airport surrounds will be engulfed by an Aerotropolis that will be developed in 10 stages over 16 years and include numerous residential projects.
Australia-Singapore Military Training Hubs: The Australian and Singaporean federal governments have signed an agreement for Australia to provide advance military training to 14,000 Singaporean military personnel every year for 25 years. Singapore has committed to investing $2.25 billion, which will benefit Townsville and Rockhampton through facility infrastructure development. In addition to construction jobs, the 25-year provision of goods and services to trainees will provide long-term economic benefits for Rockhampton and Townsville, increasing the demand for real estate in both regional cities.
Maroochydore City: A $430 million development of a modern CBD for the Sunshine Coast. The region’s population grew at a higher rate than any other location in Australia over the last decade. The new Maroochydore city centre development will include commercial, retail, high- and medium-density residential development, high-speed internet, parklands, waterways and bicycle tracks.
Hobart International Airport: Hobart is already attracting more internal migration than seven out of eight capital cities. A $200 million three-stage expansion of the Hobart airport to accommodate international flights is due for completion before the end of the 2020 calendar year. Airport passenger volumes are forecast to double within 10 years. Hobart’s growth in airport passenger volumes over the last five years is a measurement of its spectacular economic growth that drove nation-leading real estate capital growth. One should not underestimate the enormous potential for increased economic activity through easier visitor access (business travellers, domestic and international tourists, and university students).
Queens Wharf: A $3.6 billion world-class entertainment precinct in Brisbane’s CBD, meaning that Australia’s third largest city will (finally) have a world-class precinct to rival Melbourne’s Crown entertainment and Sydney’s Barangaroo precincts. Due for completion in 2022 and developed across five city blocks, this game-changing project will attract a staggering 1.39 million visitors per year, bring billions of dollars to the coffers of Brisbane’s economy each year, create approximately 10,000 new jobs and breath an exciting new energy into the Brisbane community.
Battery of the Nation: Currently in the early planning stages, this $5 billion project involves using a series of lakes in north-west Tasmania to produce hydroelectricity and direct it to mainland Australia via a cable across the Bass Strait. Real estate demand in the regional city of Burnie will increase as a result of jobs created by this project.
Narrabri Gas Project: This controversial $3.6 billion energy project in north-west NSW is well advanced in the approval process. With the aim of supplying 50 percent of NSW’s gas needs and placing downward pressure on electricity prices, development of the project will create 1,300 direct jobs and even more indirect jobs for the New England region (Narrabri, Armidale, Tamworth and Glen Innes).
Hells Gate Dam: Agribusiness and general economic development for northern Australia will be big winners from this $5.3 billion irrigation and energy project by constructing an enormous dam on the upper Burdekin River, north of Charters Towers. According to a viability assessment conducted by Townsville Enterprise, if Hells Gate Dam is developed to full capacity, it has potential to inject billions of dollars into the North Queensland economy. The property market beneficiaries of this game-changing project will be Cairns, Townsville, Innisfail, Ingham, Ayr and Charters Towers.
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